• American focus: the euro rose against the dollar significantly

Market news

16 July 2013

American focus: the euro rose against the dollar significantly

The euro rose against the dollar, helped by the data for the euro area, as well as the expectations of tomorrow's speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, in which, as expected, he will be able to shed light on the future of the program to purchase assets, as well as their timing. There is a perception that the U.S. central bank cut its purchases of bonds this year and give up the program by mid-2014.

As for the records, is to provide data from the Center for European Economic Research, which showed that in July in the euro zone economic sentiment improved to 32.8 from 30.6 the previous value. Markets had expected a more modest increase to 31.8. Indicator for the current economic situation has also improved and now stands at 74.7 points.

Another report showed that inflation in the euro area accelerated to 1.6 percent in June compared with 1.4 percent in May, in line with a preliminary estimate. On a monthly measurement of the harmonized index of consumer prices rose by 0.1 percent in June. The rate of core inflation, which excludes energy, food, alcohol and tobacco remained stable at 1.2 percent, as expected. On a monthly measurement of core inflation remained unchanged. Energy prices rose 1.6 percent in June from a year earlier, while the prices of food, alcohol and tobacco rose 3.2 percent. Prices of non-energy industrial goods rose by 0.7 percent, and the cost of services increased by 1.4 percent. The annual inflation rate in the EU-27 was 1.7 percent in June, compared with 1.6 percent in May. Monthly inflation rate in the region was 0.1 percent.

It is worth noting that interrupt the growth of the European currency could not even positive U.S. data on consumer prices and industrial production.

The Canadian dollar was up against the U.S. dollar, on the background of the fact that many traders focused on the meeting of the Monetary Policy of the Bank of Canada on Wednesday, which will be the first meeting under the new Governor of the Bank of Canada Stephen runners. Also Wednesday, the quarterly report on monetary policy and the economic outlook of the Bank of Canada.

In general, economists expect the Bank of Canada's policy is left unchanged, the interest rate will remain at 1%, and will be a warning that the next step will be to increase rates. However, given the slowdown in economic growth and low inflation, the rate increase could be delayed until the fourth quarter of 2014

In addition, today's data showed that manufacturing shipments to Canada in May rose 0.7% compared with April, partly recovering from the April decline significantly. The data came out close to expectations, and did not become a serious signal to move in any direction.

The Australian dollar rose sharply against its U.S. counterpart, which in the first place was due to the publication of protocols RBA.

As it became known today, the central bank of Australia in July left interest rates at a record low, while noting that low inflation leaves the door open to the possibility of further rate cuts if the economy will require additional support. This is evidenced by minutes of the last meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia, which took place on July 2.

As announced today, the minutes also said that the sharp fall in the Australian currency since the beginning of May could in time a bit to raise inflation, but it will remain within the target range of 2-3 percent.

Meanwhile, in the minutes noted that the board also considered that the outlook for inflation, although somewhat increased due to the decrease of the exchange rate may provide some room for further easing of monetary policy, if needed ..

According to the Reserve Bank of Australia, there is growing evidence that low interest rates are beginning to stimulate activity outside the mining industry.

Market Focus
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