• Foreign exchange market. European session: the British pound traded higher against the U.S. dollar after the better-than expected manufacturing output data from the U.K.

Market news

9 January 2015

Foreign exchange market. European session: the British pound traded higher against the U.S. dollar after the better-than expected manufacturing output data from the U.K.

Economic calendar (GMT0):

(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)

00:30 Australia Retail sales (MoM) November +0.4% +0.3% +0.1%

00:30 Australia Retail Sales Y/Y November +5.7% +4.5%

01:30 China PPI y/y December -2.7% -3.1% -3.3%

01:30 China CPI y/y December +1.4% +1.5% +1.5%

05:00 Japan Leading Economic Index November 104.5 Revised From 104.0 104.9 103.8

05:00 Japan Coincident Index November 109.9 108.9

06:45 Switzerland Unemployment Rate December 3.2% Revised From 3.1% 3.1% 3.2%

07:00 Germany Current Account November 22.5 Revised From 23.1 18.6

07:00 Germany Industrial Production s.a. (MoM) November +0.6% +0.4% -0.1%

07:00 Germany Industrial Production (YoY) November +1.2% Revised From +0.8% -0.5%

07:00 Germany Trade Balance November 20.8 Revised From 20.6 19.6 17.7

07:45 France Industrial Production, m/m November -0.7% Revised From -0.8% +0.4% -0.3%

07:45 France Industrial Production, y/y November -1.0% -2.6%

07:45 France Trade Balance, bln November -4.6 -4.5 -3.2

08:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (MoM) December 0.0% -0.3% -0.5%

08:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (YoY) December -0.1% -0.1% -0.3%

09:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (MoM) November -0.3% Revised From -0.1% +0.2% -0.1%

09:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (YoY) November +1.0% +1.6% +1.1%

09:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (MoM) November -0.7% +0.3% +0.7%

09:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (YoY) November +1.7% +2.3% +2.7%

09:30 United Kingdom Trade in goods November -9.8 Revised From -9.6 -9.5 -8.8

The U.S. dollar traded lower against the most major currencies ahead of the U.S. labour market data. The U.S. unemployment rate is expected to fall to 5.7% in December. The U.S. economy is expected to add 241,000 jobs in December.

The euro traded slightly higher against the U.S. dollar despite the mostly weak economic data from the Eurozone. German industrial production declined 0.1% in November, missing forecasts of a 0.4% rise, after a 0.6% gain in October. October's figure was revised up from a 0.2% increase.

Germany's trade surplus decreased to €17.7 billion in November from €20.8 billion in October, missing expectations for a decline to €19.6 billion. October's figure was revised up from a surplus of €20.6 billion.

France's trade deficit narrowed to €3.2 billion in November from €4.6 billion in October, beating expectations for a decline to a deficit of €4.5 billion.

Industrial production in France declined 0.3% in November, missing expectations for a 0.4% gain, after a 0.7% drop in October. October's figure was revised up from a 0.8% decline.

Political uncertainty in Greece still weighed on the euro.

The British pound traded higher against the U.S. dollar after the better-than expected manufacturing output data from the U.K. Manufacturing production in the U.K. rose 0.7% in November, exceeding expectations for a 0.3% rise, after a 0.7% drop in October.

On a yearly basis, manufacturing production in the U.K. increased 2.7% in November, beating expectations for a 2.3% gain, after a 1.7% rise in October.

Industrial production in the U.K. decreased 0.1% in November, missing forecasts of a 0.2% rise, after a 0.3% decline in October. October's figure was revised down from a 0.1% decrease.

The decline was driven by falling oil and gas prices and maintenance shutdowns at two large fields in the North Sea.

On a yearly basis, industrial production in the U.K. rose 1.1% in November, missing expectations for a 1.6% rise, after a 1.0% gain in October. October's figure was revised down from a 1.1% gain.

The U.K. trade deficit fell to £8.8 billion in November from £9.8 billion in October, beating expectations for a deficit of £9.5 billion. October's figure was revised down from a deficit of £9.6 billion.

The Canadian dollar traded higher against the U.S. dollar ahead of Canadian labour market data. The unemployment rate in Canada is expected to remain unchanged at 6.6% in December.

Canada's economy is expected to add 10,300 jobs in December.

The Swiss franc traded higher against the U.S. dollar. Switzerland's unemployment rate remained unchanged at 3.2% in December. November's figure was revised down from 3.1%. Analysts had expected the unemployment rate to fall to 3.1%.

Switzerland's consumer price index dropped 0.5% in December, missing expectations for a 0.3% fall, after a flat reading in November.

On a yearly basis, Switzerland's consumer price index declined 0.3% in December, missing expectations for a 0.1% drop, after a 0.1% decrease in November.

EUR/USD: the currency pair rose to $1.1820

GBP/USD: the currency pair increased to $1.5160

USD/JPY: the currency pair fell to Y119.16

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

13:30 Canada Building Permits (MoM) November +0.7% +0.8%

13:30 Canada Employment December -10.7 +10.3

13:30 Canada Unemployment rate December 6.6% 6.6%

13:30 U.S. Average hourly earnings December +0.4% +0.2%

13:30 U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls December 321 241

13:30 U.S. Unemployment Rate December 5.8% 5.7

15:00 United Kingdom NIESR GDP Estimate December +0.7%

Market Focus
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