• RBA says increased confidence on growth, inflation on stronger near-term global outlook and terms of trade

Market news

5 May 2017

RBA says increased confidence on growth, inflation on stronger near-term global outlook and terms of trade

  • Expected increase in underlying inflation still quite gradual due to low wage growth, heightened retail competition, low home rental growth

  • Wage growth unlikely to slow any further but will remain low

  • Forecast for unemployment rate implies ongoing spare capacity in labour market, likely to constrain wage growth going forward

  • Household income growth likely to stay weak, making it hard to be certain about future pace of consumption growth

  • Further signs emerging that slowdowns in mining states - Queensland, Western Australia - are coming to an end

  • If commodity prices do not fall as far as anticipated the impact on growth, employment could be greater than assumed in the forecasts

  • Residential investment will contribute less to growth in the period ahead than it did in the recent past

  • Difficult to know if and when a stronger and durable recovery in non-mining business investment might take hold

  • Stage higher commodity prices are not expected to add "materially" to domestic demand

  • Recent regulatory measures likely to lead to "some slowing" in housing credit growth

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