• BoC says will "remain cautious in considering future policy adjustments", guided by incoming data

Market news

17 January 2018

BoC says will "remain cautious in considering future policy adjustments", guided by incoming data

  • Consumption, residential investment have been stronger than anticipated; expected to contribute less to growth going forward

  • Benefits of higher commodity prices being diluted by wider spreads between benchmark world, canadian oil prices

  • Core inflation measures have edged up, consistent with diminishing slack in economy

  • Labor market slack being absorbed more quickly than anticipated; wages still rising by less than typical

  • Raises 2018 average annual inflation forecast to 2.0 pct from 1.7 pct, holds 2019 at 2.1 pct

  • Holds q4 growth forecast at 2.5 pct, sees q1 growth 2.5 pct; raises 2018 to 2.2 pct from 2.1 pct, 2019 to 1.6 pct from 1.5 pct

  • Uncertainty about future of NAFTA "weighing increasingly" on the outlook; trade-policy uncertainty to reduce level of business investment by 2 pct by end-2019

  • BoC sees small benefit to Canada from stronger U.S. demand due to recent tax changes

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