• RBA quarterly statement trims near-term unemployment forecast, others largely unchanged

Market news

9 February 2018

RBA quarterly statement trims near-term unemployment forecast, others largely unchanged

  • Says underlying inflation to reach 2.25 pct by mid-2020

  • Unemployment forecasts cut 0.25 point to 5.25 pct out to mid-2019, stays at 5.25 pct to mid-2020

  • Gdp growth seen at 3.25 pct end 2018, 3.25 pct end 2019, 3 pct mid-2020

  • Underlying inflation seen at 1.75 pct end 2018, 2 pct end 2019, 2.25 pct june 2020

  • Household income growth slow, if that persists it would constrain consumption

  • Recent new enterprise agreements to put downward pressure on wage growth for couple of years

  • Appreciating AUD would dampen domestic growth and inflation

  • Outlook for global growth positive despite volatility in equity markets

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