Economic forecasts by the Federal Government's Expert Group - autumn 2018. The Expert Group is significantly raising its forecast for GDP growth in 2018 from 2.4% to 2.9%. The favourable international economic development is stimulating foreign trade, and companies are investing heavily. The forecast for GDP growth in 2019 remains unchanged at robust 2.0%. However, the negative risks significantly outweigh the positives and threaten the global outlook.