Don't See Inflation Forcing Fed to Hit the Brakes
Principal Worry I Have is Global Growth
On Balance, Still See Modest Benefit of Lower Oil Prices for U.S. Economy
Slowing Growth Rate in China is a Worry
Chinese Authorities Are Doing Repeated Rounds of Things to Support Economy
Baseline Case for China is Another Year of Solid Growth
Tariffs on Either Side Have Not Had Visible Mark on China, U.S. Economies
If Trade Process Leads to Lower Tariff Environment, Good For Global Economy