• Bank of England cuts growth forecast, and says that Brexit damage has increased

Market news

7 February 2019

Bank of England cuts growth forecast, and says that Brexit damage has increased

  • 2019 GDP forecast of 1.2% (previously 1.7%)

  • 2020 GDP forecast of 1.5% (previously 1.7%)

  • Cuts estimate for supply growth to 'a little below 1.5%'

  • CPI to temporarily fall below 2% target in coming months

  • Inflation in one year's time at 2.35% (previously 2.10%)

  • Inflation in two year's time at 2.07% (previously 2.12%)

  • Inflation in three year's time at 2.11% (previously 2.03%)

  • Sees weaker productivity growth than previously anticipated

  • Brexit means volatility in data, Q1 GDP to rise 0.2%

  • Uncertainties could lead to greater volatility in UK data

  • Forecasts continue to assume a smooth adjustment to average of a range of possible Brexit outcomes.

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