• U.S. industrial output falls in January for the first time since last May

Market news

15 February 2019

U.S. industrial output falls in January for the first time since last May

The Federal Reserve reported that the U.S. industrial production fell 0.6 percent m-o-m in January 2019, following a downwardly revised 0.1 percent m-o-m increase in December 2018 (originally a 0.3 percent m-o-m advance). It was the first decline since May 2018.

Economists had forecast industrial production would rise 0.1 percent m-o-m in January. 

According to the report, manufacturing production dropped 0.9 percent m-o-m, primarily due to a large decline in motor vehicle assemblies. Meanwhile, the indexes for mining and utilities increased 0.1 percent m-o-m and 0.4 percent m-o-m, respectively.

Capacity utilization for the industrial sector decreased 0.6 percentage point m-o-m in January to 78.2 percent. That was 0.5 percentage points below economists’ forecast and 1.6 percentage points below its long-run (1972–2018) average. 

In y-o-y terms, the industrial output rose 3.8 percent in January, following an upwardly revised 4.1 percent surge in the prior month (originally a 4.0 percent gain). That marked the slowest rate of growth in industrial production recorded since June 2018.


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