Karen Jones, analyst at Commerzbank, suggests that the GBP/USD pair is on the defensive while capped by the 20 day ma at 1.3086 and has eased back to the 200 day ma at 1.2966.

“This is also the location of the 1.2966 20 week ma and the double Fibo retracement at 1.2900/1.2895, this is pretty solid support that is expected to hold the initial test. This guards the recent low at 1.2772. Above 1.3217 (25th January high) will introduce scope up to the 1.3351/82 resistance. The market recently reached 1.3382 before failing. Should 1.2900/1.2895 hold, our overall target remains the 1.3511 200 week ma. Below 1.2772 we would allow for losses to the 1.2669/62 15th January low and August low and possibly the 1.2609/78.6% retracement.”