• US dollar near its cycle peak, downside likely - Morgan Stanley

Market news

29 April 2019

US dollar near its cycle peak, downside likely - Morgan Stanley

Hans Redeker, Morgan Stanley Global Head of FX strategy offered a bearish view on the US dollar in the coming months and said:.

  • Thinks that the dollar is near its cycle peak.

  • US Q1 GDP report was a case of 'buy the rumor, sell the fact'.

  • Says that the report was by no means convincing.

  • PCE data later should show more moderation in inflation.

  • That will put the spotlight on the Fed i.e. will they take steps towards a rate cut?

  • There are signs that the global economy is recovering.

  • The Chinese economy is improving and will have spillover effects to other economies.

  • The time lag from Chinese rebound takes about two to six months.

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