• BOJ's Harada: raising sales tax now risks causing a recession

Market news

22 May 2019

BOJ's Harada: raising sales tax now risks causing a recession

  • Domestic economy has entered into a delicate state

  • Q1 GDP appears strong but driven by fall in imports, inventories

  • Hard to say that economy is recovering

  • Japan's fiscal stimulus is improving under QQE

  • MMT is questionable as unlimited debt issuance would cause unwelcome inflation

  • Central bank could extend forward guidance if it needed to ease more

  • BOJ could strengthen forward guidance by committing to keep ultra-easing policy for longer than expected

  • Cutting rates, increasing asset purchases or pace of money printing also among steps if BOJ were to ease more

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