• International Monetary Fund (IMF) cuts China's 2019 GDP forecast to 6.2% from 6.3% previously

Market news

5 June 2019

International Monetary Fund (IMF) cuts China's 2019 GDP forecast to 6.2% from 6.3% previously

  • 2020 GDP forecast seen at 6.0% from 6.1% previously

  • China's stimulus is sufficient to stabilise growth in 2019-20

  • But uncertainty around trade tensions remains high

  • Some additional easing will be warranted if trade tensions escalate further

  • Fiscal expansion could be used to help stabilise China's economy

  • China FX flexibility should increase.

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