The report from
IHS Markit and Chartered Institute of Procurement & Supply (CIPS) showed on
Wednesday that activity growth in the services sector of the UK’s economy lost
momentum during August and remained subdued in comparison to the trends seen
over much of the past decade.
According to
the report, the Markit/CIPS UK Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) fell
to 50.6 in August from 51.4 in July, signaling only a marginal expansion of
service sector output. Economists had forecast the indicator to edge down to 51.
The 50 mark divides contraction and expansion.
The latest
reading was the lowest since June and well below the long-run average.
According to
the report, softer growth of service sector output largely reflected a slower increase
in new business intakes during August amid Brexit-related uncertainty and
subdued corporate spending. Elsewhere, backlogs of work were reduced for the
eleventh successive month, which represents the longest period of decline since
2011/12, while growth projections dropped to the lowest level since July 2016
and the employment rose at the slowest pace since the current period of expansion
began in May. On the price front, input price inflation accelerated to its strongest
since January, while prices charged by service providers increased at the
slowest pace for just over three years.
The UK All
Sector Output Index, a weighted average of the UK Manufacturing Output Index,
the UK Total Construction Activity Index and the UK Services Business Activity
Index, came in at 49.7 in August, down from 50.3 in July. The decline in the UK
private-sector output reflected a sharp drop in construction work and another
fall in manufacturing production, which more than offset a marginal rise in
service sector activity.
Chris
Williamson, Chief Business Economist at HIS Markit, which compiles the survey,
noted: "After surveys indicated that both manufacturing and construction
remained in deep downturns in August, the lack of any meaningful growth in the
service sector raises the likelihood that the UK economy is slipping into
recession. The PMI surveys are so far indicating a 0.1% contraction of GDP in
the third quarter.”