• Canada's trade deficit narrows with weak details – RBC

Market news

4 October 2019

Canada's trade deficit narrows with weak details – RBC

Rannella Billy-Ochieng’, an economist at the Royal Bank of Canada (RBC), notes that Canada's trade deficit narrowed to $1B in August up from a revised $1.4B deficit in July.

  • “The details of today’s report were arguably softer than the headline numbers implied. Non-energy export volumes increased about 1% month-over-month by our count, but driven largely from an increase in exports of aircraft and other transportation equipment which grew by 13.2%. That increase is likely not to be repeated in the coming months.
  • After accounting for price effects, energy exports were also down 2.2% in August. Despite the fact that import volumes were up - much of which was driven from gold, a pullback in equipment imports does not bode well for near-term business investment growth.
  • The notoriously volatile nature of the data makes us hesitant to put too much emphasis on one month’s reading. But the details of today’s trade report were a bit disappointing.”

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