• U.S. industrial output falls more than forecast in September

Market news

17 October 2019

U.S. industrial output falls more than forecast in September

The Federal Reserve reported on Thursday that the U.S. industrial production fell 0.4 m-o-m in September, following a revised 0.8 percent m-o-m advance in August (originally a 0.6 percent m-o-m increase).

Economists had forecast industrial production would edge down 0.1 percent m-o-m in September.

According to the report, the manufacturing production decreased 0.5 percent m-o-m, due to a strike at General Motors (GM), U.S. major manufacturer of motor vehicles. Excluding motor vehicles and parts, the overall index and the manufacturing index each declined 0.2 percent m-o-m. Meanwhile, mining production dropped 1.3 percent m-o-m, while utilities output grew 1.4 percent m-o-m.

Capacity utilization for the industrial sector decreased 0.4 percentage point m-o-m in September to 77.5 percent. That was 0.2 percentage point below economists’ forecast and 2.3 percentage points below its long-run (1972-2018) average.

In y-o-y terms, the industrial output dropped 0.1 percent in September, following an unrevised 0.4 percent gain in the prior month.

For the third quarter, industrial production increased 1.2 percent y-o-y, following declines of about 2 percent y-o-y in both the first and the second quarters.

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