The Bank of
England (BoE) announced its Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted by a majority
of 7-2 to maintain Bank Rate at 0.75 percent at its September meeting.
The MPC also
voted unanimously to maintain the corporate bond purchases at £10 billion and
UK government bond purchases at £435 billion.
In its
statement, the BoE notes:
- The underlying
UK GDP growth has slowed materially this year due to weaker global growth,
driven by trade protectionism, and the domestic impact of Brexit-related
uncertainties;
- The perceived
likelihood of a no-deal Brexit has fallen markedly and the sterling exchange
rate has appreciated after the UK and EU agreed a Withdrawal Agreement and
Political Declaration as well as a flexible extension of Article 50 in October;
- These
agreements are expected to remove some of the uncertainty facing businesses and
households, and the MPC projects that UK GDP growth will pick up during 2020;
- Inflationary
pressures are projected to lessen in the near term;
- Monetary policy
could respond in either direction to changes in the economic outlook in order
to ensure a sustainable return of inflation to the 2% target;
- The Committee
will monitor closely the responses of companies and households to Brexit
developments as well as the prospects for a recovery in global growth;
- If global
growth fails to stabilize or if Brexit uncertainties remain entrenched,
monetary policy may need to reinforce the expected recovery in UK GDP growth
and inflation;
- Provided these
risks do not materialize and the economy recovers broadly in line with the
MPC’s latest projections, some modest tightening of policy, at a gradual pace
and to a limited extent, may be needed to maintain inflation sustainably at the
target.