The
Confederation of British Industry (CBI) reported on Monday its latest survey of
retailers showed retail sales volume balance rose to -3 in November from -10 in
October. That marked the seventh consecutive month of decline in retail sales
volume but represented the highest balance since April.
Economist had
forecast the reading to stay at -10.
The report also
revealed that orders placed on suppliers (-9) also fell for the seventh
straight month in November. Meanwhile, retailers expect a recovery in orders
growth next month (+12). Stock levels in relation to expected sales eased from
the record high last month (to +30 from +52%) and are expected to return to broadly
average in December (+18). Business conditions are forecast to remain stable
over the quarter ahead (+4), following a steep weakening in expectations last
quarter (-25). However, investment intentions for the year ahead declined for
the sixth consecutive quarter (-38) and at a faster pace than last quarter (-19)
Anna Leach, CBI Deputy Chief Economist noted: “Retailers are entering the festive season with a bit of hope that sales will head up, with the strongest expectations in half a year. Actual sales have also stabilized and have nudged above average for the time of year. And employment has stopped falling after three years of decline. But Brexit uncertainty continues to weigh on investment plans for the year ahead which remain weak. As the election period gets into full swing, retailers will welcome the prominence being given to fixing the broken business rates system. But it will be up to the next Government to turn warm words into action.”