• RBA's Lowe: Australia unlikely to get to the point where it needs QE

Market news

26 November 2019

RBA's Lowe: Australia unlikely to get to the point where it needs QE

  • QE is "not on our agenda" at this point

  • QE would only be considered should cash rate reach 0.25%

  • There may come a point when QE would help but I "don't expect us to get there"

  • Still expects economy to move in the right direction, albeit gradually

  • QE would be considered if evidence accumulates that we were unlikely to meet policy goals

  • Need evidence that moving away from, rather than towards, goals for full employment, inflation

  • Board would then consider buying government bonds as only QE measure

  • Would hope other public policy options were also on the agenda

  • Use of all QE measures could create "inaction" bias for other policy makers

  • Negative interest rates in Australia are extraordinarily unlikely

  • We have no appetite" to make outright purchases of private sector assets as part of qe

  • No need to provide extra liquidity through market operations

  • International experience suggests QE does put downward pressure on both rates and exchange rate

  • Would need to balance these positive effects with possible side-effects

  • Would need to consider effects of bond buying on market functioning

  • Strong evidence that various central bank liquidity measures worked during crisis

  • Less convinced that other unconventional measures worked, jury still out

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