10 December 2019
UK's GDP data a bit weaker than expected – TDS
Analysts at TD Securities note that the UK GDP came in a bit weaker than expected at flat m/m in October, although it was a 'strong' zero at 0.040%.
- “The primary source of downside surprise seems to be the volatile construction sector, where activity declined -2.3% m/m (mkt -0.2%).
- On the other hand, IP was roughly in line with consensus at 0.1% m/m, and the index of services was a touch stronger at 0.2% m/m. So overall this still leaves Q4 GDP tracking pretty close to the BoE's 0.2% q/q estimate, and the less volatile sectors of the economy didn't look too bad.”