• China: Clouds are lifting – Danske Bank

Market news

30 December 2019

China: Clouds are lifting – Danske Bank

Analysts at Danske Bank note that China's growth took a hit from the trade war in 2019 but rays of light have emerged, that suggest the worst may be behind us.

  • "We expect a moderate increase in the manufacturing sector driven by stimulus and easing trade tensions.
  • The US-China trade war has calmed down again following the phase-one deal and we see a 50% chance that the US and China will strike a bigger deal in 2020 and more tariffs will be rolled back.
  • China has been the epicenter of the global slowdown and we expect the lift to activity to have a positive spillover to the rest of the world.
  • We expect only limited further policy stimulus from here and a slight appreciation of the CNY as activity bottoms and trade fears ease."

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