• European session review: GBP continues to appreciate, CNH and AUD remain under pressure

Market news

31 January 2020

European session review: GBP continues to appreciate, CNH and AUD remain under pressure

TimeCountryEventPeriodPrevious valueForecastActual
06:30FranceGDP, q/qQuarter IV0.3%0.2%-0.1%
07:00GermanyRetail sales, real adjusted December1.6%-0.5%-3.3%
07:00GermanyRetail sales, real unadjusted, y/yDecember2.7%5%0.8%
07:30SwitzerlandRetail Sales (MoM)December-0.1% -0.4%
07:30SwitzerlandRetail Sales Y/YDecember0.5%0.2%0.1%
07:45FranceConsumer spending December0.7%-0.1%-0.3%
07:45FranceCPI, m/mJanuary0.4% -0.4%
07:45FranceCPI, y/yJanuary1.5% 1.5%
09:30United KingdomNet Lending to Individuals, blnDecember4.9 5.8
09:30United KingdomConsumer credit, mlnDecember0.6530.91.218
09:30United KingdomMortgage ApprovalsDecember65.51465.767.241
10:00EurozoneHarmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/YJanuary1.3%1.2%1.1%
10:00EurozoneHarmonized CPI, Y/YJanuary1.3%1.4%1.4%
10:00EurozoneGDP (QoQ)Quarter IV0.3%0.2%0.1%
10:00EurozoneGDP (YoY)Quarter IV1.2%1.1%1%


GBP appreciated against other major currencies on Friday for a second straight day, backed by the latest decision of the Bank of England (BoE) to keep its interest rate unchanged. The Bank also noted the signs of a pick-up in the UK's economy after December's election, which weakened the case for immediate action. 

EUR traded little changed against its major rivals after the release of the preliminary data on Eurozone's GDP and inflation, which showed that the economy grew less than expected in the final quarter of 2019 and core inflation decelerated in the first month of 2020. A flash estimate published by Eurostat revealed that Eurozone's seasonally adjusted GDP rose by 0.1 percent q/q and 1.0 percent y/y in the fourth quarter of 2019, while economists had forecast gains of 0.2 percent q/q and 1.1 percent y/y. In the third quarter of 2019, Eurozone's GDP grew by 0.3 percent q/q and 1.2 percent y/y. In a separate report, Eurostat said Eurozone's annual inflation is expected to be 1.4 percent in January 2020, up from 1.3 percent in December 2019. Meanwhile, the core inflation is estimated to drop to 1.1 percent in the reported month from 1.3 percent in the previous month. Economists had forecast headline inflation at 1.4 percent and core inflation at 1.2 percent. 

Elsewhere, CNH and AUD weakened amid lingering fears about the spread of the coronavirus in China.

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