• ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts: Incoming data pointed to continued positive but modest GDP growth

Market news

20 February 2020

ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts: Incoming data pointed to continued positive but modest GDP growth

The ECB released account of its January 22-23 monetary policy meeting. It noted that:

  • while there might have been a bottoming-out in manufacturing, it was too soon to conclude that the slowdown in growth in the services sector had stopped, as spillovers to services could emerge with a lag and the sector's current resilience might not last;
  • nowcasting models, which took recent data releases into account, pointed to a stabilisation in growth at low rates, below estimates of potential growth;
  • members were encouraged by the fact that headline and underlying inflation had recently evolved in line with the December staff projections and by the evidence of a continued gradual upward trend in some indicators of underlying inflation;
  • reference was made to developments in a number of euro area indicators; it was felt to be important to acknowledge these positive signs and care should be taken to avoid being too slow to change the risk assessment;
  • some caution was also expressed about becoming too optimistic;
  • remark was also made that higher housing prices could lead to fragilities in the financial system which might be insufficiently addressed by macroprudential policies.

Market Focus
Material posted here is solely for information purposes and reliance on this may lead to losses. Past performances are not a reliable indicator of future results. Please read our full disclaimer
Open Demo Account & Personal Page
I understand and accept the Privacy Policy and agree to my name and contact details being used by TeleTrade to contact me about this.