The Bank of
Canada (BoC) left its benchmark interest rates unchanged at 0.25 percent on
Wednesday, as widely expected.
In its policy
statement, the Canadian central bank noted:
- Incoming data
confirm the severe impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the global economy;
- This impact
appears to have peaked, although uncertainty about how the recovery will unfold
remains high;
- Global recovery
likely will be protracted and uneven since different countries’ containment
measures will be lifted at different times;
- In Canada, the
pandemic has led to historic losses in output and job;
- Canadian
economy, however, appears to have avoided the most severe scenario presented in
the Bank’s April Monetary Policy Report (MPR);
- The level of
real GDP in the first quarter was 2.1 percent lower than in the fourth quarter
of 2019;
- The level of
real GDP in the second quarter will likely show a further decline of 10-20
percent;
- BoC expects the
economy to resume growth in the third quarter;
- CPI inflation
has decreased to near zero, as anticipated in the April MPR;
- BoC expects
temporary factors to keep CPI inflation below target band in near term;
- BoC’s programs
to improve market function are having their intended effect;
- As short-term funding
conditions have improved, BoC is reducing the frequency of its term repo
operations to once per week, and its program to purchase bankers’ acceptances
to bi-weekly operations;
- BoC stands
ready to adjust these programs if market conditions warrant;
- Other programs
to purchase federal, provincial, and corporate debt are continuing at their
present frequency and scope;
- As market
function improves and containment restrictions ease, BoC’s focus will shift to
supporting the resumption of growth in output and employment;
- BoC maintains
its commitment to continue large-scale asset purchases until economic recovery
is well underway;
- Any further
policy actions would be calibrated to provide necessary degree of monetary
policy accommodation required to achieve inflation target.