The Bank of
England (BoE) announced its Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted 9-0 to
maintain Bank Rate at 0.1 percent at its June meeting, as widely expected.
The MPC also
voted unanimously to continue with the existing programme of GBP200 billion of
UK government bond and sterling non-financial investment-grade corporate bond
purchases and voted by a majority of 8-1 to increase the target stock of
purchased UK government bonds by an additional GBP100 billion, to take the
total stock of asset purchases to GBP745 billion..
In its
statement, the BoE notes:
- Risky asset
prices have recovered further from their March lows, although they have
remained sensitive to news on evolution of pandemic;
- Recent data
outturns suggest that fall in global GDP in 2020 Q2 will be less severe than
expected at time of the May Monetary Policy Report;
- Downside risks
to global outlook remain, however, including from the spread of Covid-19 within
emerging market economies and from return to higher rate of infection in
advanced economies;
- UK GDP
contracted by around 20% in April, following a 6% fall in March. Evidence from
more timely indicators suggests that GDP started to recover thereafter;
- Current
below-target rates of CPI inflation can in large part be accounted for by effects
of pandemic;
- Unprecedented
situation means that outlook for UK and global economies is unusually
uncertain. It will depend critically on evolution of the pandemic, measures
taken to protect public health, and how governments, households and businesses
respond to these factors;
- Emerging
evidence suggests that fall in global and UK GDP in 2020 Q2 will be less severe
than set out in the May Report;
- There is a risk
of higher and more persistent unemployment in UK;
- CPI inflation
is well below the 2% target and is expected to fall further below it in coming
quarters, largely reflecting the weakness of demand;
- MPC judges that
further easing of monetary policy is warranted to meet its statutory objectives;
- Committee
agreed to increase target stock of purchased UK government bonds by an
additional GBP100 billion in order to meet inflation target in medium term; expects
that programme to be completed, and the total stock of asset purchases to reach
GBP745 billion, around the turn of the year.
- MPC will
continue to monitor situation closely and, consistent with its remit, stands
ready to take further action as necessary to support the economy and ensure a
sustained return of inflation to 2% target
- Committee will
keep the asset purchase programme under review.