• ECB's chief economist Lane: ECB scenarios are for low but positive inflation ahead

Market news

1 July 2020

ECB's chief economist Lane: ECB scenarios are for low but positive inflation ahead

  • Says data should be mostly positive for long time but a good bounce in economy does not reveal profile of recovery
  • We will need up to one year to know how eurozone will recover
  • Expects two steps forward, one step back recovery with periodic interruptions
  • Reports of further COVID-19 infections not helping recovery in confidence, investments
  • Current corporate ratings look reasonable, not obvious there should be a lot more downgrades
  • Absolutely not into yield targeting; ECB doesn't take a view on any particular level of spread

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