- Dallas Fed president Kaplan: My views on second-quarter contraction, the size of it, are about the same - about 35% annualized
Market news
17 July 2020
Dallas Fed president Kaplan: My views on second-quarter contraction, the size of it, are about the same - about 35% annualized
- I have been of the view that the economy probably bottomed in Apri; we were starting to grow in May; we were going to grow in June, July, and from here for the rest of the year; and we would have rebound from the second quarter
- And then we had the resurgence in cases, and we started to see a change in high-frequency data, particularly the mobility data we track
- We started to see a stall out around the middle of June
- Conversations with businesses and high-frequency data show that we're growing at slower rate than I had hoped
- Small businesses that I talked to now are seeing their businesses slow again, and for some - depending on what they do - slow substantially; they're much more concerned whether they are in fact going to make it
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