• Germany's consumer price index fell in line with forecasts

Market news

13 August 2020

Germany's consumer price index fell in line with forecasts

According to the report from Federal Statistical Office (Destatis), the inflation rate in Germany, measured as the year-on-year change in the consumer price index, stood at -0.1% in July 2020. This means that the inflation rate declined in July 2020 (June 2020: +0.9%). Destatis also reports that consumer prices decreased by 0.5% compared with June 2020.

The prices of goods (total) decreased by 1.4% from July 2019 to July 2020. The value added tax cut was probably one of the causes. At -6.7%, the fall of energy prices accelerated slightly year on year (June 2020: -6.2%) although oil prices are on the rise again in the world market. A price decline was recorded especially for heating oil (-31.3%) and motor fuels (-12.9%). Electricity prices rose by merely 2.1% (June 2020: +4.1%). Food prices were up by 1.2% compared with a year earlier, with the price increase slowing markedly as well (June 2020: +4.4%). However, above-average price increases were again recorded for fruit (+7.8%), meat and meat products (+5.4%), while the prices of edible fats and oils were down (-3.4%). Owing, among others, to the VAT reduction, there were falling prices in other groups of goods as well, for example clothing and footwear (-1.7%) and durable consumer goods (-1.0%). There were considerable price rises for tobacco products (+6.6%), which are exempt from the VAT cut.

The year-on-year decrease in energy product prices continued to have a downward effect on the inflation rate. Excluding energy product prices, the inflation rate would have been +0.8% in July 2020; excluding the prices of energy products and food, it would have been +0.7%.


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