20 August 2020
ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts: Argument was made that PEPP envelope should be considered a ceiling, not a target
The ECB released account of its July 15-16 monetary policy meeting. It noted that:
- While financial
market conditions had continued to normalize since ECB’s June monetary policy
meeting, they remained tighter and more fragile than before the pandemic;
- Monetary and
fiscal policy measures had brought about a considerable improvement in
financial conditions since the height of coronavirus crisis;
- Recent market
developments were not fully backed by economic data and might be based on
overly optimistic expectations about the European Council’s recovery package
and about progress on developing a vaccine;
- Uncertainty
about the economic outlook remained elevated;
- With regard to
PEPP, the flexibility of the programme was highlighted as key element of its
effectiveness and efficiency in supporting transmission of monetary policy over
time;
- The argument
was also made that flexibility of the PEPP suggested that net purchase envelope
should be considered a ceiling rather than a target;
- The current
presumption was that the PEPP envelope would have to be used in full;
- Governing
Council had to await further data to better assess future path of economy and
extent to which inflation was returning to its pre-crisis trajectory within
projection horizon