The latest
survey by the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) revealed on August the UK
manufacturers' order books improved slightly in July but remained considerably
weak by historical standards.
According to
the report, the CBI's monthly factory order book balance increased to -44 in
August from -46 in the previous month. This was the highest reading since March but remained well below the long-run average of -14. Economists had forecast
the reading to come in at -35. Export order books (-60) strengthened slightly
from July (-64) but continue to be far below their long-run average (-18).
The CBI also
reported that output in the quarter to August (-46) declined sharply, although
the pace moderated on July’s survey-record decline (-59). It is also expected that
output will fall at a much slower pace in the next three months (-10).
Meanwhile, output prices are seen to decline at a modest pace in the next
three months (-5 from +4 in July).
“The survey
results show some early signs of the manufacturing downturn bottoming out, but
it is clear that many firms remain in distress and the sector looks set for a
challenging Autumn,” noted Tom Crotty, Group Director at INEOS and Chair of the
CBI Manufacturing Council. “As the government looks to economic recovery, it is
crucial that it continues to support firms through the difficult months ahead,
and work with us to build a more resilient manufacturing sector.”