• Chicago Fed National Activity Index decreases to 1.18 in July

Market news

24 August 2020

Chicago Fed National Activity Index decreases to 1.18 in July

The Chicago Federal Reserve announced on Monday the Chicago Fed national activity index (CFNAI), a weighted average of 85 different economic indicators, came in at 1.18 in July, down from an upwardly revised 5.33 in June (originally 4.11), pointing to a slower growth in economic activity than in June but still well-above-average of 0.01.

Economists had forecast the index to come in at 2.73 in July.

At the same time, the index’s three-month moving average moved up to +3.59 in July from -2.78 in June.

According to the report, three of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index made positive contributions in July, but all four categories dropped from June.

Production-related indicators made a positive contribution of 1.09 to the CFNAI in July, down from +2.21 in June. Employment-related indicators contributed +0.38 to the CFNAI in July, down from +1.94 in June. Meanwhile, the contribution of the sales, orders, and inventories category to the CFNAI decreased to -0.31 in July from +0.77 in June. The contribution of the personal consumption and housing category to the CFNAI improved decreased to +0.02 in July from +0.42 in June.

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