The
Confederation of British Industry (CBI) reported on Tuesday its latest survey
of retailers showed retail sales volume balance stood at -6 in the year to August,
down from +4 in July, which pointed to a slight fall in retail sales after
broadly flat sales in the previous month. The decline
was broad-based across sectors.
Economist had
forecast the reading to increase to +8.
Moreover, retail
sales volumes are expected to fall at a faster rate in the year to September (-17).
The report also
revealed that orders placed on suppliers fell for the sixteenth consecutive
month (-27 in August, down from -14 in July) and are expected to drop at a
similar pace next month (-26). Meanwhile, stock levels in relation to expected
sales eased to their lowest level since March (+19 in August, down from +29 in
July).
In other survey's results, employment in the retail sector dropped at the sharpest pace since
February 2009 in the year to August (-45, down from -20 in May) and an even
faster decline is anticipated in the quarter ahead (-52). Investment intentions
for the year ahead remained negative, but to a lesser extent than in May (-32,
down from -55).
“Indeed, the
latest survey shows that trading conditions for the retail sector remain tough,
even against the backdrop of business slowly returning. Firms will be wary of
deteriorating household incomes and the risk of further local lockdowns
potentially hitting them in the pocket for a second time,” noted Alpesh Paleja,
CBI Lead Economist. “As a result, further support may well be needed for the
retail sector if demand continues to disappoint. Extending business rates
relief will go a long way towards alleviating pressure on retailers’ cash flow.”