• European session review: EUR mostly higher despite disappointing Eurozone's CPI report for August

Market news

1 September 2020

European session review: EUR mostly higher despite disappointing Eurozone's CPI report for August

TimeCountryEventPeriodPrevious valueForecastActual
07:30SwitzerlandManufacturing PMIAugust49.25251.8
07:50FranceManufacturing PMIAugust52.44949.8
07:55GermanyManufacturing PMIAugust5153.052.2
07:55GermanyUnemployment ChangeAugust-171-9
07:55GermanyUnemployment Rate s.a. August6.4%6.4%6.4%
08:00EurozoneManufacturing PMIAugust51.851.751.7
08:30United KingdomNet Lending to Individuals, blnJuly2 3.9
08:30United KingdomConsumer credit, mlnJuly-0.3820.6781.2
08:30United KingdomMortgage ApprovalsJuly39.954.83966.3
08:30United KingdomPurchasing Manager Index Manufacturing August53.355.355.2
09:00EurozoneHarmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/YAugust1.2%0.8%0.4%
09:00EurozoneHarmonized CPI, Y/YAugust0.4%0.2%-0.2%
09:00EurozoneUnemployment Rate July7.7%8%7.9%


EUR traded mostly higher against its major rivals in the European session on Tuesday after the release of lower-than-expected Eurozone’s CPI data for August.

Eurostat reported its flash estimates showed that Eurozone’s inflation turned negative in August. According to the report, Eurozone’s consumer prices are expected to fall 0.2 percent y/y from a year earlier in August,  reversing a 0.4 percent y/y increase in July. This will be the first decline since May 2016. Economists had forecast the prices to climb 0.2 percent y/y. Meanwhile, excluding energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, core inflation, at which the ECB looks in its policy decisions, is likely to ease to 0.4 percent from 1.2 percent in July. This represents a record low core inflation rate. Economists had expected a 0.8 percent gain.

The European Central Bank (ECB) aims to keep inflation "below, but close to 2 percent." However, the ECB’s policymakers acknowledged that inflation pressures are expected to remain more subdued this year.  So, market participants do not expect the ECB to respond imminently to the latest CPI data when they meet next week, but they are curious how much lower a decline in inflation and for how long can the ECB’s officials tolerate.

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