The Bank of
England (BoE) announced its Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted 9-0 to
maintain Bank Rate at 0.1 percent at its September meeting, as widely expected.
The MPC also
voted unanimously to continue with its existing programmes of UK government
bond and sterling non-financial investment-grade corporate bond purchases,
maintaining the target for the total stock of these purchases at £745 billion.
In its
statement, the BoE notes:
- Outlook for
economy remains unusually uncertain; direct impact of Covid-19 on economy would
dissipate gradually
- Sterling
exchange rate index has fallen by around 2%, in part reflecting recent Brexit
developments
- Consumption has
continued to recover during the summer and is now at around its start-of-year
level in aggregate, stronger than expected in August
- Number of paid
employees has fallen by around 700,000 between February and August
- Investment
intentions have remained very weak and uncertainties among businesses are
elevated
- For Q3, Bank
staff expect GDP to be around 7% below its 2019 Q4 level, less weak than had
been expected in August.
- CPI inflation
is expected to remain below 1% until early 2021, albeit slightly higher than
expected in August
- Path of growth
and inflation will depend on the evolution of the pandemic and measures taken
to protect public health, as well as the nature of, and transition to, new
trading arrangements between EU and UK; it will also depend on responses of
households, businesses and financial markets to these developments
- Recent domestic
economic data have been little stronger than Committee expected in August
- Recent
increases in Covid-19 cases have potential to weigh further on economic
activity, albeit probably on lesser scale than seen earlier in the year
- Committee will
continue to monitor situation closely and stands ready to adjust monetary
policy accordingly to meet its remit.
- MPC will keep
under review range of actions that could be taken to deliver its objectives
- Committee does
not intend to tighten monetary policy until there is clear evidence that
significant progress is being made in eliminating spare capacity and achieving
the 2% inflation target sustainably
- Committee
judged that existing stance of monetary policy remains appropriate.