The Chicago
Federal Reserve announced on Monday the Chicago Fed national activity index
(CFNAI), a weighted average of 85 different economic indicators, came in at 0.79
in August, down from an upwardly revised 2.54 in July (originally 1.18),
pointing to slower growth in economic activity than in July but still above average.
That was the lowest reading since a sharp decline in April.
Economists had
forecast the index to come in at 1.95 in August.
At the same
time, the index’s three-month moving average fell to +3.05 in August from +4.23
in July.
According to
the report, two of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct
the index made positive contributions in August, but all four categories dropped
from July.
Production-related
indicators made a positive contribution of +0.23 to the CFNAI in August, down
from +1.26 in July. Employment-related indicators contributed +0.63 to the
CFNAI in August, down slightly from +0.65 in July. Meanwhile, the contribution
of the sales, orders, and inventories category to the CFNAI decreased to -0.04
in August from +0.53 in July. The contribution of the personal consumption and
housing category to the CFNAI worsened -0.04 in August from +0.09 in July.