• BoC's governor Macklem: The pandemic is reducing investment and is likely to cause long-lasting damage to jobs

Market news

28 October 2020

BoC's governor Macklem: The pandemic is reducing investment and is likely to cause long-lasting damage to jobs

  • CAD stronger than assumed in July despite low oil prices
  • BoC will keep providing stimulus to support economy through recovery
  • We are still more than 700,000 jobs below pre-pandemic; peak job losses in 2009 recession were about 425,000
  • Purchases of longer-term bonds are more effective
  • The very rapid phase of the reopening phase is over
  • Some parts of economy will simply be unable to completely reopen until coronavirus vaccine is widely available
  • We expect Q4 growth to be just barely positive
  • We've marked down growth potential to 1% out to 2023
  • We see the risks are forecasts to be roughly balanced but we're particularly focused on downside risks


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