• Germany's consumer price index fell in line with forecasts in November

Market news

11 December 2020

Germany's consumer price index fell in line with forecasts in November

According to the report from the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis), the inflation rate in Germany, measured as the year-on-year change in the consumer price index, stood at -0.3% in November 2020. This was the fourth time this year that the inflation rate was negative. The price decrease even accelerated slightly (October: -0.2%). The last time an inflation rate as low as this was observed was in January 2015. Destatis also reports that consumer prices decreased markedly by 0.8% compared with October 2020.

One of the reasons for the negative inflation rate was again the temporary value added tax reduction, which was implemented on 1 July 2020 as a measure of the Federal Government's stimulus package. Since then, it has had a downward effect on the consumer prices compared with a year earlier.

The prices of goods (total) fell 1.8% from November 2019 to November 2020. This was mainly due to price decreases for energy products (-7.7%). The decrease in energy prices thus accelerated (October 2020: -6.8%). Excluding energy product prices, the inflation rate would have been +0.6% in November 2020.

The prices of services (total) were up 1.1% in November 2020 on the same month of the previous year. A major factor contributing to this price development was the increase in net rents exclusive of heating expenses (+1.4%), as households spend a large part of their consumption expenditure on this item.

Compared with October 2020, the overall consumer price index fell markedly by 0.8% in November 2020. Consumers paid less especially for motor fuels (-2.8%, including supergrade petrol: -3.7%). Prices of energy products (total) fell by 1.0%. Food prices, however, rose 0.5% in November 2020. Seasonal month-on-month price increases were recorded especially for vegetables (+3.0%).

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