• EBC's president Lagarde: Inflation has picked up on idiosyncratic events but underlying pressure remains low

Market news

22 April 2021

EBC's president Lagarde: Inflation has picked up on idiosyncratic events but underlying pressure remains low

  • Pandemic continues to constrain activity; near-term outlook remains clouded by uncertainty
  • Vaccine underpins expectation of a firm rebound in economic activity
  • Governing Council expects PEPP in this quarter to be conducted at significantly higher pace than in Q1
  • PEPP envelop need not be used in full if favorable financing conditions maintained; can also be boosted if needed
  • GDP was 4.9% below pre-pandemic level at year end
  • Incoming data, surveys suggest that economic may have contracted in Q1 but point to resumption of growth in Q2
  • Medium-term risks are more balanced
  • Headline inflation likely to increase further in coming months
  • Inflation expectations are at subdued levels
  • Fiscal measures should be targeted and temporary
  • We will continue to monitor foreign exchange developments

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