FXStreet reports that economists at Westpac saw the underlying up trend as intact, even as the AUD/USD pair slipped under 0.7600 earlier this month, 

“The huge jump in spot iron ore prices to 10 year highs around $187/tonne are backed by record Chinese demand and the ongoing constrained supply confirmed by Vale, BHP and Rio this week. Australia seems set to continue to report historically large trade surpluses. We think the implications of the iron ore price surge are being underestimated in FX markets, with the midpoint of our short term fair value model rising to 0.80.”

“The US$ could, and arguably should, garner support from the super strong US data that will be released through May and beyond, plus the explosion of Covid cases in India; China/Taiwan incursions and Russian/Ukraine tensions could also exert downward pressure in risk sentiment in the weeks ahead.”

“We look to buy the dip below 0.7700, then add on any further weakness to 0.7600 with a target of the aussie returning to 0.8000 and potentially higher later in May-June.”