The
Bank of England (BoE) announced its Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted 9-0
to keep the Bank Rate at 0.1 percent at its June meeting, as widely expected.
The
MPC also voted unanimously to maintain the stock of sterling non-financial
investment-grade corporate bond purchases at GBP20 billion and voted by a
majority of 8-1 to continue with the existing programme of UK government bond
purchases at GBP875 billion, thus maintaining the total target stock of asset
purchases at GBP895 billion.
In
its statement, the BoE notes:
- MPC
judged that the existing stance of monetary policy remained appropriate;
- MPC
sets monetary policy to meet the 2% inflation target, and in way that helps to
sustain growth and employment;
- Bank’s
staff have revised up their expectations for level of UK GDP in 2021 Q2 by
around 1.5% since the May Report, as restrictions on economic activity have
eased, so that output in June is expected to be around 2.5% below its pre-Covid
2019 Q4 level;
- Direct
economic implications of delays in the final stages of relaxation of Covid
restrictions are likely to be relatively small compared with impact of previous
stages;
- CPI
inflation is expected to pick up further above MPC’s 2% target, owing primarily
to developments in energy and other commodity prices, and is likely to exceed
3% for a temporary period;
- Output
in number of sectors is now around pre-Covid levels, although it remains materially
below in others;
- There
is uncertainty around how many of individuals will resume their search for a
job, and when;
- The
number of furloughed jobs has declined faster than expected, as demand has
recovered;
- MPC’s
expectation is that direct impact of rises in commodity prices on CPI inflation
will be transitory
- MPC’s
central expectation is that UK’s economy will experience a temporary period of
strong GDP growth and above-target CPI inflation, after which growth and
inflation will fall back;
- It
is possible that near-term upward pressure on prices could prove somewhat
larger than expected;
- MPC judges
that UK inflation expectations remain well anchored;
- In
judging appropriate stance of monetary policy, MPC will focus on medium-term
prospects for inflation, including balance between demand and supply, and
medium-term inflation expectations, rather than factors that are likely to be
transient;
- MPC
will continue to monitor situation closely and will take whatever action is
necessary to achieve its remit;
- MPC
does not intend to tighten monetary policy at least until there is clear
evidence that significant progress is being made in eliminating spare capacity
and achieving the 2% inflation target sustainably;
- MPC
will have opportunity to assess the economic outlook more fully in context of
its August Monetary Policy Report and accompanying economic projections