• Risk-reward favourable for XAU/USD leading up to August – DBS Bank

Market news

7 July 2021

Risk-reward favourable for XAU/USD leading up to August – DBS Bank

FXStreet reports that strategists at DBS Bank look beyond gold’s near-term volatility and recommend including the yellow metal as a risk diversifier in portfolio.

“At the current prices, we believe the risk-reward is favourable as gold prices trade toward our year-end target price of $2,000 per ounce. Based on our quantitative model, gold price fair value should be around $1,910-2,048 when US 10Y bond yields are around 1.4-1.8% and the US Dollar Index (DXY) around 90- 95.”

“We believe the ride is going to be bumpy leading up to August before the Jackson Hole symposium when Fed chairman Jerome Powell will testify on the state of the US economy and outlook on monetary policies; there will be more clarity then.”

“Investors should look beyond this near-term volatility and continue to include gold as a risk diversifier in their portfolio. Central banks around the world are demanding gold as an alternative to USD, and with interest rates at such low levels, the opportunity costs of holding gold are almost non-existent.”

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