According to the report from Insee, over a year, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) should rise by 1.2% in July 2021, after +1.5% in the previous month. Economists had expected a 1.0% increase. This decrease in inflation should result from the downturn in manufactured good prices, linked to the postponed summer sales, the slowdown in the prices of services, and to a lesser extent tobacco. Conversely, the prices of food should rebound and those of energy should accelerate.
Over one month, consumer prices should rise by 0.1% as in June. Economists had expected a 0.1% decrease. The prices of manufactured goods, particularly those of clothing and footwear, and those of tobacco should fall back. The food prices should be stable after a decrease in the previous month. Linked to the summer period, the prices of services should accelerate, as those of energy.
Year on year, the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices should rise by 1.6% after +1.9% in June. Over one month, it should increase by 0,1% after +0.2% in the previous month.