• US: Three reasons why a growth scare is overblown – Morgan Stanley

Market news

4 August 2021

US: Three reasons why a growth scare is overblown – Morgan Stanley

FXStreet reports that Lisa Shalett, Chief Investment Officer, Wealth Management at Morgan Stanley explains why investors should not worry about slowing growth.

Economic growth is slowing but remains solid 

“Recently, preliminary estimates for second-quarter gross GDP growth came in at 6.5%. We forecast third-quarter annualized GDP growth at 6.1%, expecting that supply-chain pressures will continue to resolve and fiscal spending prospects will turn up. Strong fundamentals also underpin this forecast".

Second-quarter corporate earnings have been excellent so far

“As of July 30, with 59% of S&P 500 companies having reported results, 88% of them have reported earnings that came in above analysts’ expectations, and 88% have reported a positive revenue surprise.”

The consumer remains strong 

“US consumer confidence as measured by the Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index inched up slightly in July, to 129.1, the highest since February 2020.”

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