Bloomberg reports that according to a Federal Reserve Bank of New York survey, U.S. consumers’ expectations for inflation over the medium term rose to an eight-year high in July.
The median survey respondent anticipated an inflation rate of 3.7% in three years’ time, the highest since August 2013 and up from 3.6% in June, the New York Fed said. Expectations for inflation over the next year rose to a record 4.8%.
Fed officials follow measures of inflation expectations closely because they believe them to be key determinants of actual inflation.
Consumers polled by the New York Fed said they expected rents to increase 9.8% in the coming year, the highest reading since the survey began in 2013. Expected changes in medical care costs over the next 12 months ticked up to 9.5%, while the expected change in gas prices moderated to 8.1%.