• U.S. industrial production grows more than forecast in July

Market news

17 August 2021

U.S. industrial production grows more than forecast in July

The Federal Reserve reported on Tuesday the U.S. industrial production increased 0.9 percent m-o-m in July, following a revised 0.2 percent m-o-m rise in June (originally a 0.4 percent m-o-m advance). This represente the largest monthly gain in industrial production since March.

Economists had forecast industrial production would increase 0.5 percent m-o-m in July.

According to the report, the manufacturing output rose 1.4 percent m-o-m, mainly due to a 11.2 percent m-o-m jump in production of motor vehicles and parts, as a number of vehicle manufacturers trimmed or canceled their typical July shutdowns, though vehicle assemblies continued to be constrained by a persistent shortage of semiconductors. In the meantime, the mining production increased 1.2 percent m-o-m in July, while the output of utilities fell 2.1 percent m-o-m.

Capacity utilization for the industrial sector rose 0.7 percentage point m-o-m to 76.1 percent in July. That was 0.4 percentage points above economists’ forecast but 3.5 percentage points below its long-run (1972-2020) average.

In y-o-y terms, the industrial output surged 6.6 percent in July, following a revised 9.9 percent climb in the prior month (originally a 9.8 percent jump). This was the smallest annual increase in industrial production since March, as the last year's low base effect fades away.

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