The
Bank of Canada (BoC) maintained its benchmark interest rates unchanged at 0.25
percent on Wednesday, as widely expected. The Bank also kept the pace of its
quantitative easing (QE) program unchanged at CAD2 billion per week.
In
its policy statement, the Canadian central bank noted:
- Global
economic recovery continued through Q2;
- Supply
chain disruptions are restraining activity in some sectors and rising cases of
COVID-19 in many regions pose risk to the strength of global recovery;
- Canada’s
GDP contracted by about 1 percent in Q2, reflecting mainly a contraction in
exports, due in part to supply chain disruptions, especially in auto sector;
- Housing
market activity pulled back from recent high levels, largely as expected;
- Employment
rebounded through June and July, with hard-to-distance sectors hiring as public
health restrictions eased;
- BoC continues
to expect the economy to strengthen in H2, although the fourth wave of COVID-19
infections and ongoing supply bottlenecks could weigh on recovery;
- CPI
inflation remains above 3 percent as expected
- Factors
pushing up inflation are expected to be transitory, but their persistence and
magnitude are uncertain and will be monitored closely;
- Medium-term
inflation expectations remain well-anchored;
- Governing
Council judges that Canada’s economy still has considerable excess capacity,
and that recovery continues to require extraordinary monetary policy support;
- We
remain committed to holding the policy interest rate at effective lower bound
until economic slack is absorbed so that 2 percent inflation target is
sustainably achieved. In BoC's July projection, this happens in H2 of 2022;
- Decisions
regarding future adjustments to the pace of net bond purchases will be guided
by Governing Council's ongoing assessment of strength and durability of recovery;
- We
will continue to provide appropriate degree of monetary policy stimulus to
support recovery and achieve inflation objective.