• UK GDP grew more than forecast in the 2nd quarter

Market news

30 September 2021

UK GDP grew more than forecast in the 2nd quarter

According to the report from Office for National Statistics, UK gross domestic product (GDP) is estimated to have increased by 5.5% in Quarter 2 (Apr to June) 2021, revised from the first estimate of a 4.8% increase. Economists had expected a 4.8% increase.

The level of GDP is now 3.3% below where it was pre-pandemic at Quarter 4 (Oct to Dec) 2019, revised from the previous estimate of 4.4% below.

In output terms, the largest contributors to this increase were from wholesale and retail trade, accommodation and food service activities, education and human health, and social work activities.

In Quarter 2 2021, there were increases in all main components of expenditure, with the largest contribution from household consumption, which contributed 4.0 percentage points to the 5.5% increase following the easing of coronavirus restrictions in Quarter 2 2021 when compared with those in place in Quarter 1 (Jan to Mar) 2021.

The UK’s net borrowing position with the rest of the world reduced to 1.5% of GDP in Quarter 2 (Apr to Jun) of 2021 compared with 1.7% of GDP in Quarter 1 (Jan to Mar) of 2021.

A rise in household spending of 7.9% saw the household saving ratio decrease to 11.7% in Quarter 2, compared with 18.4% in Quarter 1, which was the second highest on record.

General government decreased its net borrowing position in the non-financial account to £51.3 billion in Quarter 2 2021 (8.9% of GDP) from £73.2 billion in Quarter 1 2021 (13.1% of GDP); lower borrowing was driven by a rise in income from taxes on products and production of 9.1%, a fall in subsidies of 19.7% and a fall in government final consumption expenditure of 3.0%.

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