7 October 2021
ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts: It was noted that near-term increase in inflation was largely driven by temporary factors that would fade in medium term and not call for policy tightening
The
ECB released account of its September 8-9 monetary policy meeting. It noted
that:
- As
for assessment of inflation outlook, significant improvement over the course of
the year was acknowledged
- It
was noted that near-term increase in inflation was largely driven by temporary
factors that would fade in medium term and not call for policy tightening
- According
to September ECB staff projections, inflation was not expected to persistently
reach levels that fully offset the pandemic impact on inflation path at
relevant medium-term horizon
- Members
agreed that persistently favourable financing conditions along with somewhat
improved medium-term outlook for inflation would allow the Governing Council to
moderately scale down the pace of purchases under the PEPP while confirming all
other monetary policy measures
- A
concern was expressed that slower pace might induce market perceptions of
tighter than expected monetary policy, which could result in tightening of
financing conditions
- An
argument was made that markets were already expecting end to net asset
purchases under PEPP by March 2022
- The
point was made that, even without PEPP, overall monetary policy stance remained
highly accommodative
- A
view was expressed, however, that perception of premature removal of
accommodation could raise questions on the Governing Council’s determination to
deliver on its inflation target
- Attention
was also drawn to the Governing Council’s efforts to be more transparent and to
communicate better with the general public; it was suggested that more
information be provided in official communication about reasoning behind the
APP, the PEPP and related policy decisions