The Norwegian krone has benefitted from a supportive global risk sentiment throughout the week. In the week ahead, economists at ING think the NOK rally may pause.
“The krone is already scoring as quite expensive against both the EUR and the USD according to our short-term fair value model.”
“While some other overvalued currencies will face a catalyst for a potential correction next week (like CAD with the BoC meeting), for NOK to give up gains we would likely need to see a deterioration in risk sentiment and/or a drop in oil prices.”
“October unemployment data out of Norway should have limited impact – we expect EUR/NOK to gravitate around 9.70 in the week ahead.”