The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the Bank of England (BoE) are both less hawkish than markets priced. Near-term risks of a test of AUD/GBP 0.5380/0.5400 but Westpac’s year-end baseline is 0.54, then 0.55 in Q1 2022.
“The aussie made steep gains against sterling in October, but with both the RBA and BoE starting November with more dovish than expected decisions, AUD/GBP may be in for a period of consolidation.”
“We see near-term risks of a test of AUD/GBP 0.5380/0.5400 but our year-end baseline is 0.54, then 0.55 in Q1 2022.”